The HUNT for Heart Failure Risk Score

Background:
Strategies to improve early detection and enable early treatment of heart failure (HF)
are urgently needed. Currently no risk score for utilization in a general population is available for
regular use. We aimed to develop such a tool to predict the 10-year risk for incident HF.

Methods:
Participants in the third wave (2006-08) of the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT3) were
included if they reported no known HF at baseline. In case of hospital diagnoses during follow-up of
either heart failure, cardiomyopathy or hypertensive heart disease the medical records were
reviewed and HF events validated according to the ESC 2016 guideline.

Results/conclusions:
We identified 12 clinical variables that independently predicted 10-year HF risk. This could be translated to a practical, online risk score which can be used for HF risk assessment in general practice.

News 2022:
Analyses for the main risk score finalized and article submitted and rejected. Revised for new submission.

Primary Investigators: Anne Pernille Ofstad (Bærum Sykehus, Boehringer Ingelheim)
Co-primary: Håvard Dalen (NTNU, St Olavs)

Co-investigators/participants:  
Lars Gullestad (OUS-RH)
Lars Erik Laugsand (St Olavs)
Bjørn Mørkedal (Sykehuset i Vestfold)
Cathrine Brunborg (OUS)
Morten W. Fagerland (OUS)

External collaborators: 
Boehringer Ingelheim